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This may not prove to be true this time if a postwar depression of the general type of 1921-1922 develops, following a brief period of postwar prosperity. They are more likely to be hampered or restricted by political opposition to the whole policy or opposition to particular features of interest to certain domestic groups or areas. Grants and loans should not be made for construction of farmhouses except on the basis of planning that will indicate which farms are likely to persist under the conditions of competition likely to prevail in the postwar world.

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The first heading covers what used to be called liquidating public works, highway construction, services (especially medical care, public health, and vocational training) which serve directly to increase productivity, and even conservation activities, providing, however, that some effort is made to compare their cost with the ultimate increase in output they are expected to make possible. After the effect of the war upon the rate of technological change has worn off, and after money incomes have been brought into normal relationship with the volume of cash, will not the great bargaining power of labor prevent the attainment of full employ ment and thus limit the standard of living of the workers? Rivalry in Retail Financial Services. If so, it is no more so than durable peace itself. Price making depends essentially on the competitive structure within particular industries on the number and relative size of firms in a given market); the strength of the barriers between "markets, " "commodities, " and "industries"; the competitive attitudes of firms (which we may term their "will to compete"); and the extent of direct price regulation by government. VII The oversimplified example discussed above has, obviously, no material relationship whatsoever to the actual economic world.

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So long as a high level of money income could be maintained, he was not concerned over the interest charge. Exchange rates can be maintained at reasonable levels, and controls can be relaxed. This can be avoided if reserves are kept largely in the form of special Federal securities, or if national agencies are directed to purchase bonds offered by the state and local reserves. TAose i#AicA ca% be expected%ot to be present at tAe ewd of tAe present i#ar. The position can be taken, and is indeed defended in these pages, that the control of international capital movements offers one of the main opportunities for combining freedom and order in inter national economic relations. Space here is inadequate for further discussion of them, but I should like to refer the reader to an article entitled "The Federal Debt and the Future'* by Alvin H. Hansen and myself, in the April, 1942, issue of Harper's AfapaziTM. MONETARY STABILIZATION 393 An international stabilization fund requires financing by the contributing countries which can be undertaken out of central bank credit or budgetary receipts. Even if the increase in tax revenue and in the sales of war savings bonds far exceed present estimates, demand deposits by the middle of 1943 are likely to be $45 billion or more, and, by the middle of 1944, $55 billion or more. The maintenance of trade equilibrium in a world where these conditions obtain is a difficult task. There is no need to show that the same is true of any PanAsiatic or eastern Asiatic scheme, with Japan taking the place of Germany. As thus defined, sociat security is broader than social insurance, although the latter term is often loosely used to include social assistance and integrated social security systems. Prestige consumer healthcare products. X During the last 10 years the Federal tax system has developed in such a way as to bear heavily upon profits, to produce an unfavorable shift in the investment function, and to limit employ ment opportunities. The basic assumption is that total production expands and civilian production contracts sufficiently so that the goals outlined in the President's original war program are really attained, which would require a gross national expenditure in the neighborhood of $132 billion.

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A proper answer, of course, must require careful, detailed study of the various regions concerned, but from general knowledge of the areas it is not hard to suggest the main lines. Nevertheless, the Federal debt may well rise to an amount ten or more times the current dollar value of all assets. 134 POSTWAR ECONOMIC PROBLEMS If a country disregards the foreign value of its currency and increases effective demand at home (to the level which gives it full employment), the increased demand for imports by the newly employed will cause the country's currency to depreciate to the point where the higher prices of imports and exports (in the depreci ated domestic currency) have sufficiently discouraged imports and encouraged exports to make them equal to each other again. Labor would probably support such schemes because its traditional preju dices have been in favor of "stabilization. " Rubber, tin, wheat, coffee, and sugar differ greatly in their vulnerability to displacement by alternative goods and in their potentialities for increased consumption. Prestige products direct llc. Yet in a real sense we are already in the midst of a transition to a new order.

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The strength of this argument clearly increases as the length of the war is prolonged. But where there is not real mobility of labor, whether this is due to the law or to sentiment or to ignorance or poverty, this solution is not available and a depreciation of the currency can immediately give the relief which would otherwise come only after a severe depression has succeeded in reducing wages and prices. Up to now unions have been very private affairs, free to admit or expel men as they saw and to run their own affairs as they (or their leaders) desired. This is possible, of course, because of the availability of money as an alternative form of (individual) wealth. THE POSTWAR TRANSITION PERIOD One important distinction must first be sharply drawn. A much wider range of projects is needed to provide a safe degree of flexibility. There is also reason to expect that the American people will in the near future manifest much more concern than they have done to date over the large number of rejections for physical reasons in the draft, which, while not indicating lack of progress since the last war, nevertheless reveal that many Americans suffer from curable and preventable diseases, largely because they lack sufBcient income for adequate medical care. A committee working under the National Resources Planning Board, appointed at the suggestion of the President, studied the problem for nearly 2 years, but its long overdue report has still not been made public. It is probably unrealistic to assume that the (potential) rate of accumulation would have been as rapid had there never been any growth of population and territory. The proposals may therefore be taken as inadequate to meet the basic needs of the postwar period. In this area, Malthus's law applies instead. Price increases led to attempted inventory accumulation, further accentuating the price increases. The only rule needed for adequate stability of foreign exchanges is that each country shall maintain full employment at home. As F. Knight once said (speaking of the break down of the system of democratic government by discussion), "The first aspect of the practical situation resulting [from such a break down] is the impossibility of going back to an unconscious or tradi tional process.

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The preparation and shipment of food in this way may become a permanent thing after the war and offers many possibilities to carry such important foods as dried milk and eggs, dehydrated fruits, vegetables, and meats, to out-of-the-way places like the tropics. How far is price stability truly advantageous? Durable peace implies extirpation of bar T R A D E AND THE PE A C E 149 ter trade, of quota limitations, and of arbitrary exchange controls. In addition, of course, there will be what we may term the political risks. There is always the possibility, of course, that the con struction techniques actually used will be different from those used on PWA; but where differences in techniques are subject to control, as in the Work Progress Administration regulations, no serious problem arises. 4 Includes gasoline, general sales, liquor excises and licenses, and tobacco excises and licenses. 4 1930 POSTWAR 1929 CD (7 1 to O s TA B LE 2. Real peace does not instantly follow war. Against any rise of output, one should put the increasing demands that are likely to be made on governments. Together with the imposition of outside limits to com mercial bank credit, this power, of which cooperating nations would be most jealous, is veritably the crucial defile of international economic comity. E., may be substitutable for, but not additional to, parts of "? Second, as to recon version, it is hard to see how the total could run much above $4.

There has also been organized, at the instance of the International Labour Organization, a Social Insurance Commission of the American Countries, to assist the participating countries in developing social security systems on a coordinated and sound basis. Public spending, POSTWAR PRIVATE INVESTING 107 so long as it is carried on in what is mainly a private-enterprise system, is bound to go largely for goods that undergo no test of consumer demand. Company Description:Manufacturer & brand owner of the best air purifier on the market, Triad Aer. THE DILEMMA OF OVERVALUED LAND From the economic if not indeed from the social point of view, the most important of the principles of city planning outlined above is the third, the one having to do with elbow room in the interior of the urban community. Tariff Commission, Reciprocity and Commerce!

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